And Another Siren Goes Off in the Middle of the Night

BOSTON: Dr. Haden Land and I are a former Lockheed Martin senior executive, and an FDA COO and Harvard faculty member. And both experts on risk management—particularly “infectious-disease-spread” risk management and “military-related” risk management.

As such, the sneak attack on Israel has raised serious concerns for us.

As a critical part of our loud and resounding domestic and international alarm campaign, we emphasized in many recent articles and posts that we believe Israel and the US are unprepared for a potential “Bio War Sneak Attack” stimulated by the quick degradation of the status of the Hamas war.

We believe Israel’s attackers (Hamas, but increasingly also Hezbollah, and other Iranian allies, either directly or indirectly) will perpetrate this new form of attack on Israel and the US—once the attackers are all but defeated and believe they are “cornered.” In other words, we believe this is a significant danger that must professionally and aggressively be risk-managed.

When Israel’s attackers face destruction, they will do whatever they believe they can get away with—less than an easily traceable nuclear attack—to damage Israel and its people, and the US, directly or indirectly, critically.

Hamas and its allies will not use a nuclear method of mass destruction, even a “dirty bomb.” They are genuinely deterred from using them. That is why we have not had a nuclear war in the 68 years since 1945 when the atomic attacks on Hiroshima and Nagasaki killed 2,000 people.

Because no nuclear war has befallen us, we have been lulled into a sense of security from weapons of mass destruction that does not exist. Massively dangerous bioweapons have been overlooked or forgotten.

We fool you not. This threat is real. No matter how much we, especially our leaders, try to ignore or deny it, we must confront its reality now.

A “real and present danger?” If so, are we prepared?

This possibility of a sneak attack using a bioweapon represents “an obvious real and present danger” to both Israel and the US. We are doomed if we don’t properly prepare. If we are not prepared, we will be on our knees before we know fully what happened.

In recent years, there have been many things that Israel and America should have done but have not done to “prepare” themselves for a “bio sneak attack” and an all-out bio war. Indeed, after the first wave of the COVID-19 Pandemic, it should have been brilliantly clear to both countries and their business leaders that they were woefully unprepared for such an attack—and significantly unprotected if such an attack occurred.

And if the 1.1M American deaths included more workers, spouses, and children, the unfathomable stain would have been 10x broader and 100x deeper. Why are nuclear weapons off Hamas and its allies’ table? If so, why don’t we know this?

And we believe the likelihood of a devastating nuclear sneak attack and all-out atomic war is far less than a bio sneak attack and full-blown bio war. Yet this year, both countries are spending most of their defense budgets on nuclear attack preparation and results risk management (roughly $750B by the US alone).

At a minimum, 10% of the nuclear attack risk management funding should be moved to the bio attack funding category. Dr. Land and I and our teammates are doing our part. But our investment of millions of dollars in our bio attack (by nature or by humans) risk management company, Safely2Prosperity, is minuscule by comparison. We have invested cash, time, and energy beyond excruciating levels of pain. Our government agency and business leaders must do their part now.

Preparedness requires significant amounts of public and private money. Many American and Israeli government agency heads and business CEOs should be taking this matter more seriously. Instead, they have a “wait-and-see” attitude, or what physicians call “watchful waiting.”

Will the widespread lack of preparedness be devastating to lives and enterprises if the biothreat materializes?

Unfortunately, in this category, things would happen so fast if they occurred that the agency and business leaders would be woefully unprepared, and their prevention, mitigation, and control responses would most likely be delayed and weak.

Accordingly, their strategy is non-proactive, dangerous, and reckless. And they will be held accountable.

So, it makes no sense collectively and individually to “sit on one's hands.” The argument that “we cannot afford preparedness” is false. What you cannot afford is “to be unprepared.”

What’s more, we fear another industrial disaster, far more significant than the 1911 Triangle Shirtwaist Factory fire—that shaped the politics of New York and later the entire nation—and the Hawaii fire that is beginning to do the same—is possibly just months to years away if nature is the cause and just around the corner if Hamas (and its allies) are the cause.

If they turn their war against Israel (and the US) into a bio war, it will create, by many orders of magnitude, the worst disaster that the US or Israel has ever experienced.

Is an “attack by fire” like, but far less devastating than, a “bio attack” regarding both the depth and breadth of its damages?

Like with the 1.1M “disposables” from the COVID-19 Pandemic, the 146 trapped, fire-exposed workers who died in or because of the fire that day were never mentioned by name. They remained nameless for decades. Nonetheless, their deaths counted.

But the difference was that in the case of a massive all-at-once scale of the fire, and the scale of the simultaneous occurrence of deaths drove politicians (and the nation’s “secret legislators, “our plaintiffs’ attorneys) to act quickly and aggressively to prevent another such disaster.